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DailyFX Individual Currency Pair Conditions and Trading Strategy Bias
DailyFX PLUS System Trading Signals ?Forex traders continue to predict the smallest US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) moves since the onset of global financial crises in 2007/2008, and such low expectations point to low-volatility range trading in the week ahead.
As we wrote in last week?s strategy outlook report, FX market complacency sets the stage for US Dollar losses. This week our outlook remains mostly unchanged as the US currency trades towards fresh lows. Yet it is worth noting that the Dollar remains surprisingly resilient versus the similarly-downtrodden Euro.
Given clear expectations of slow currency moves, we favor range trading strategies across the majority of US Dollar pairs in the weeks ahead. As we detail in our Traits of Successful Traders series, it is critical to match trading style to market conditions. In this instance, exceedingly low volatility levels favor range trading systems such as Relative Strength Index (RSI)-based ?Congestion Opportunities?/Range2 strategies on DailyFX PLUS.
Else it seems as though low-volatility ?Risk On? trades stand to do well. Last week we wrote that the Australian Dollar?a major recipient of ?Risk On? money flows?stood to reverse against the US Dollar amidst such complacency. Yet we will have to see signs that volatility will move higher given such exceedingly low levels.
Market Conditions:
As we wrote last week, FX Options point to the smallest market moves since the onset of global financial crises in 2007 and 2008. Volatility tends to be mean-reverting; if vols are extremely low, they will often bounce. Yet timing that bounce remains all but impossible as the same argument could have been made a month ago.
We?ll cautiously favor low-volatility strategies and direction until further notice. Yet it is important to note that volatility could return at a moments? notice, and these levels are consistent with past instances of financial market complacency.
? Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com
To contact David, e-mail drodriguez@dailyfx.com
To be added to David?s e-mail distribution list for this and other reports, e-mail subject line ?Distribution List? to drodriguez@dailyfx.com
Definitions
Volatility Percentile ? The higher the number, the more likely we are to see strong movements in price. This number tells us where current implied volatility levels stand in relation to the past 90 days of trading. We have found that implied volatilities tend to remain very high or very low for extended periods of time. As such, it is helpful to know where the current implied volatility level stands in relation to its medium-term range.
Trend ? This indicator measures trend intensity by telling us where price stands in relation to its 90 trading-day range. A very low number tells us that price is currently at or near monthly lows, while a higher number tells us that we are near the highs. A value at or near 50 percent tells us that we are at the middle of the currency pair?s monthly range.
Range High ? 90-day closing high.
Range Low ? 90-day closing low.
Last ? Current market price.
Bias ? Based on the above criteria, we assign the more likely profitable strategy for any given currency pair. A highly volatile currency pair (Volatility Percentile very high) suggests that we should look to use Breakout strategies. More moderate volatility levels and strong Trend values make Momentum trades more attractive, while the lowest Vol Percentile and Trend indicator figures make Range Trading the more attractive strategy.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES IS MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION.
OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary, and does not constitute investment advice. The FXCM group will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance contained in the trading signals, or in any accompanying chart analyses.
Source: http://allyalls.com/low-forex-volatility-favors-dollar-weakness-range-trading.html
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While you were trying to pass Poetry 101, Cornell seniors Le Zhang and Michael Lathrop were creating an apple-polishing Lego robot that automatically erases your prof's chalkboard. A final class project, the toady mech uses an Atmel brain, accelerometers for direction control, microswitches to sense the edge of the board, magnets to stay attached and hot glue to keep the Lego from flying apart. As the video below the break shows, it first aligns itself vertically, then moves to the top of the board, commencing the chalk sweeping and turning 180 degrees each time its bumpers sense the edge. The duo are thinking of getting a patent, and a commercialized version would allow your teacher to drone on without the normal slate-clearing pause. So, if designing a clever bot and saving their prof from manual labor doesn't get the students an 'A', we don't know what will.
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Cornell students build spider-like robotic chalkboard eraser out of Lego, magnets, fun (video) originally appeared on Engadget on Tue, 14 Aug 2012 08:39:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.
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A bride-to-be is charged with murder after allegedly stabbing her fiance just hours before the couple's wedding was to start near Whitehall, Pa.
Na Cola Darcel Franklin, 31, and her fiance Billy Rafael Brewster, 36, were planning to tie the knot at 10 a.m. on Saturday, but at some point during the night, Franklin and Brewster began arguing, Steve Luksa, first deputy to the Lehigh County District Attorney, told ABCNews.com.
In the heat of the argument, Franklin allegedly stabbed Brewster twice with a kitchen knife, police said.
"One of the stab wounds punctured his heart," Luksa said.
When police arrived at the apartment, shortly after 2 a.m., they found Brewster bleeding from chest wounds on the second floor landing.
He was transported to the Lehigh County Trauma center and pronounced dead at 3:24 a.m., less than seven hours before the wedding.
Luksa said the couple was not alone in the apartment when the stabbing took place. The couple's children, and extended family members were also present because of the impending nuptials.
Franklin was arrested and charged with one count of criminal homicide, Luksa said.
During her arraignment Saturday afternoon, Franklin told District Judge Donna Butler, "You got to check again," unable to comprehend that Brewster was dead, the Allentown Morning Call reported. She cried, rocked herself back and forth and eventually choked out, "I ... did ... not ... kill ... him ... on ... purpose."
She is being held in Lehigh County Prison without bail, Luksa said.
When Franklin told Bulter via the video conference arraignment that she wanted to go home, Butler responded, "You are not going home any time in the near future."
Also ReadSource: http://gma.yahoo.com/bride-accused-murdering-groom-hours-wedding-210843418--abc-news-topstories.html
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Have you been searching for ways to give your home?s interior a ?raise?? You don?t ought to appear any further! Read through this report for simple jobs that one could undertake to improve your property.
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